black holes and gray matter. in one thousand tangos.

             
10 Things That Could Go Wrong If We Attack Syria
1. “Our strikes could result in heavy civilian casualties. …
2. Our strikes could result in Assad killing more civilians. …
3. Our strikes could result in Assad killing more civilians with chemical weapons. …
4. The attacks are so slight that Assad survives them easily and appears strengthened before the world. …
5. “You bombed it, you own it.” …
6. Reprisal. The Syrian army, Syrian army sympathizers, Syrian army allies like Hezbollah, or some other pro-Syrian — or at least anti-American — element could decide to exact revenge for our strikes in Syria by launching a terrorist attack against Americans somewhere else in the world. If 12 American tourists die after a Syria-related terrorist attack on an international hotel in the Middle East, what happens next? Do we mourn? Escalate? Is that a cost we’re willing to pay?
7. Assad falls and the chemical weapons end up in the wrong hands. 8) Assad falls and is replaced by chaos. …
8. Assad falls and is replaced by chaos. 
9. Assad falls and is replaced by something worse. …
10. Escalation. Almost everything that could go wrong points towards the same ultimate response: Escalation. That could mean more bombing, or actual ground troops, or some combination. But the key fear behind intervening in Syria is that even constrained missions can unexpectedly break free of their limits.”
Read on.

10 Things That Could Go Wrong If We Attack Syria

1. “Our strikes could result in heavy civilian casualties. …

2. Our strikes could result in Assad killing more civilians. …

3. Our strikes could result in Assad killing more civilians with chemical weapons. …

4. The attacks are so slight that Assad survives them easily and appears strengthened before the world. …

5. “You bombed it, you own it.” …

6. Reprisal. The Syrian army, Syrian army sympathizers, Syrian army allies like Hezbollah, or some other pro-Syrian — or at least anti-American — element could decide to exact revenge for our strikes in Syria by launching a terrorist attack against Americans somewhere else in the world. If 12 American tourists die after a Syria-related terrorist attack on an international hotel in the Middle East, what happens next? Do we mourn? Escalate? Is that a cost we’re willing to pay?

7. Assad falls and the chemical weapons end up in the wrong hands. 8) Assad falls and is replaced by chaos. …

8. Assad falls and is replaced by chaos. 

9. Assad falls and is replaced by something worse. …

10. Escalation. Almost everything that could go wrong points towards the same ultimate response: Escalation. That could mean more bombing, or actual ground troops, or some combination. But the key fear behind intervening in Syria is that even constrained missions can unexpectedly break free of their limits.”

Read on.

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